Search/Recent Changes
DBTropes
...it's like TV Tropes, but LINKED DATA!

False Cause

 False Cause
type
FeatureClass
 False Cause
label
False Cause
 False Cause
page
FalseCause
 False Cause
comment
Confusing correlation with causation, assuming causation because of correlation, or ignoring that there is some other factor that affects both of the things under discussion. Often summed up as "Correlation does not imply causation". Also called "Magical Thinking"note many superstitions are based on committing this fallacy or "Ignoring a Common Cause". The easiest way to dispel this fallacy is to remember that statistics do not occur in a vacuum: correlation only implies causation if all other factors are equal, which they frequently are not. You must take into account all factors before you can narrow down to the deciding factors.
See Correlation/Causation Gag for when this is Played for Laughs. Also see Placebotinum Effect.
 False Cause
fetched
2024-01-23T05:01:40Z
 False Cause
parsed
2024-01-23T05:01:40Z
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to ArtisticLicensePhysics: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to CatchYourDeathOfCold: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to ComicallyMissingThePoint: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to CountryMusic: Not an Item - CAT
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to CryingWolf: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to EmbarrassingDampSheets: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to EvilLawyerJoke: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to GridPuzzle: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to Irony: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to MindScrew: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to NewMediaAreEvil: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to OurDragonsAreDifferent: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to PlayedForLaughs: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to ReeferMadnessTheMusical: Not an Item - UNKNOWN
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to SatanicPanic: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to SuckOutThePoison: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to SugarCausesHyperactivity: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to TheDiseaseThatShallNotBeNamed: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to TheFundamentalist: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to TheSeventies: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to TheSixties: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to UrbanLegend: Not an Item - UNKNOWN
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to WarIsHell: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to WeAllDieSomeday: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingComment
Dropped link to invoked: Not an Item - FEATURE
 False Cause
processingUnknown
UrbanLegend
 False Cause
processingUnknown
ReeferMadnessTheMusical
 False Cause
isPartOf
DBTropes
 False Cause / int_1463a028
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_1463a028
comment
This exact argument is used in an SVU episode where some kids attacked a woman and killed her. The kids played a video game with a similar attack, therefore, the video game caused them to attack the woman.
 False Cause / int_1463a028
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_1463a028
featureConfidence
1.0
 Law & Order: Special Victims Unit
hasFeature
False Cause / int_1463a028
 False Cause / int_148f217e
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_148f217e
comment
In Nancy Drew: The White Wolf of Icicle Creek, the eponymous wolf is hunted by Ollie because she happens to show up whenever a disaster happens. In truth, the disasters are caused by a very human saboteur vacationing in the area. The wolf's appearances are entirely Red Herrings that foreshadow her interest in human affection and activity, which is unusual but has a logical cause unrelated to the mystery.
 False Cause / int_148f217e
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_148f217e
featureConfidence
1.0
 Nancy Drew (Video Game)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_148f217e
 False Cause / int_261c8d3f
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_261c8d3f
comment
The Simpsons:
In "Much Apu About Nothing", a bear randomly appearing in the neighborhood leads the mayor to fund a massive Bear Patrol scheme. Homer claims that the lack of bears proves the Bear Patrol works, at which point Lisa points out that you might as well say that a rock keeps tigers away, since she's holding the rock, and she can't see any tigers. Homer's response? "Lisa, I want to buy your rock."
In "Radioactive Man", Bart meets a guy who apparently lives in an old Spirograph factory. As Bart goes to leave, the guy ominously warns "there's a direct correlation between the decline in Spirograph use and the rise in gang activity!"
 False Cause / int_261c8d3f
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_261c8d3f
featureConfidence
1.0
 The Simpsons
hasFeature
False Cause / int_261c8d3f
 False Cause / int_2e3e7ac2
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_2e3e7ac2
comment
Justice League:
One episode features a journalist claiming that since white-collar crime has risen since the League formed, the League clearly causes that crime (in fact, given the League's style, it's entirely possible that the smarter criminals turn to white-collar rather than blue-collar crime to reduce the chances of Superman slapping them around Metropolis, but his logic still doesn't track).
An even better example (from that same episode, that same scene, and that same character) would be when the talk show host demands that the Flash explain why since the League was formed 50% of all marriages end in divorce, and the rest end in death. Not only is there no connection between the founding of the Justice League and divorce rates, of course all the other marriages end in death. The couples who didn't get divorced simply grew old and died naturally, by accidents, etc. Hence the phrase "'til death do you part".
 False Cause / int_2e3e7ac2
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_2e3e7ac2
featureConfidence
1.0
 Justice League
hasFeature
False Cause / int_2e3e7ac2
 False Cause / int_38c87187
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_38c87187
comment
Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal: One strip both discusses and mocks this trope. One guy says he doesn't believe events are causally connected. His friend turns out the light, pulls out a gun, and a shot rings out. When his friend exclaims in dismay at the bullet in his arm, he blames it on the darkness.
 False Cause / int_38c87187
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_38c87187
featureConfidence
1.0
 Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal (Webcomic)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_38c87187
 False Cause / int_3f4a104b
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_3f4a104b
comment
In one Dilbert strip, the Pointy-Haired Boss tells Dilbert that he's been receiving anonymous emails with links to articles about the world's worst bosses. He's caught on to the fact that he gets one of those emails every time he leaves Dilbert's cubicle, and says he notices the correlation. However, right outside Dilbert's cubicle, Wally sends another anonymous email to the boss, while thinking to himself, "Correlation does not imply causation."
 False Cause / int_3f4a104b
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_3f4a104b
featureConfidence
1.0
 Dilbert (Comic Strip)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_3f4a104b
 False Cause / int_46518682
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_46518682
comment
Sesame Street had a Bert & Ernie sketch where Ernie held a banana in his ear, claiming it kept away alligators.
 False Cause / int_46518682
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_46518682
featureConfidence
1.0
 Sesame Street
hasFeature
False Cause / int_46518682
 False Cause / int_468bebb0
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_468bebb0
comment
Discworld: While witches are certainly capable of casting Curses that actually harm people or cause ill-fortune, they prefer to rely on the fact that bad things happen to people all the time. If one of them happens after you've "cursed" them, they'll remember.
 False Cause / int_468bebb0
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_468bebb0
featureConfidence
1.0
 Discworld
hasFeature
False Cause / int_468bebb0
 False Cause / int_4a059a74
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_4a059a74
comment
The Mandalorian: One of the thugs at the beginning of Chapter 1 gets in Mando's face for spilling his drink when he entered the building. However, the drink had already been spilled by the thug himself when he stood up and hit the table in the process.
 False Cause / int_4a059a74
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_4a059a74
featureConfidence
1.0
 The Mandalorian
hasFeature
False Cause / int_4a059a74
 False Cause / int_5755b96a
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_5755b96a
comment
The Order of the Stick: Someone once told the red dragon Empress of Blood that more powerful dragons have grown larger. So now she spends all her time stuffing her face to gain as much weight as possible. Since she's a Puppet King, this may have been intentional.
 False Cause / int_5755b96a
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_5755b96a
featureConfidence
1.0
 The Order of the Stick (Webcomic)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_5755b96a
 False Cause / int_57a3683f
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_57a3683f
comment
One Not Always Right story has a clerk working in a shop where the bathroom light turns on a short while after the switch is flipped. One impatient customer drags the clerk over without paying attention to the clerk's explanation and flicks the switch back and forth to prove his point. The clerk then flips the switch to on and yells "STRUN BAH QO" (Storm Call) just before the lights turn on. The customer is left awestruck that the Dragonborn stands before him.
 False Cause / int_57a3683f
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_57a3683f
featureConfidence
1.0
 Not Always Right (Website)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_57a3683f
 False Cause / int_6059ad6b
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_6059ad6b
comment
xkcd:
A strip using the rise of both Firefox and Wicca to imply that Firefox causes witchcraft.
After looking at the data, Black Hat comes to the conclusion that cancer causes call phones.
 False Cause / int_6059ad6b
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_6059ad6b
featureConfidence
1.0
 xkcd (Webcomic)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_6059ad6b
 False Cause / int_60f02ddb
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_60f02ddb
comment
In the American Dad! episode "A Smith in the Hand", Stan (who becomes addicted to masturbating after accidentally doing so while applying ointment to his penis) comes to the conclusion that he watches TV all the time and masturbates all the time, therefore TV causes him to masturbate. He then tells Steve that he constantly thinks about sex because he watches too much TV.
 False Cause / int_60f02ddb
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_60f02ddb
featureConfidence
1.0
 American Dad!
hasFeature
False Cause / int_60f02ddb
 False Cause / int_6cb2d709
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_6cb2d709
comment
It's sometimes argued that "Harry Potter is a corrupting influence" because of the spectacular way in which Harry Potter actor Jamie Waylett went bad. Of the dozens of cast and hundreds of crew, one person went bad, and that's not near enough to "prove" malignancy. There's no way anyone can know if Waylett wouldn't have turned out the way he did anyway, or that he wasn't already headed in that direction before being cast in the Harry Potter movies. To use an example from the series proper, this would be like saying "all wizards in Voldemort's class will turn out evil because Voldemort turned out evil."
 False Cause / int_6cb2d709
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_6cb2d709
featureConfidence
1.0
 Harry Potter (Franchise)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_6cb2d709
 False Cause / int_6f289ebc
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_6f289ebc
comment
Cynical spoof-journalist Jonathan Pie confidently predicted everything good or bad will be attributed to Brexit for years to come.
 False Cause / int_6f289ebc
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_6f289ebc
featureConfidence
1.0
 Jonathan Pie (Web Video)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_6f289ebc
 False Cause / int_8d81f086
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_8d81f086
comment
Invoked in an episode of Monk. A pharmacist had killed his partner years ago and buried him on church property. When he learns the church plans on expanding, which would lead to the body's discovery, he concocts a scheme to stop them. He switches out patients' prescriptions for sugar pills so that their conditions worsen, then suggests that they drink from the church's fountain. Once he learns that they have, he starts giving them proper medicine again, so their conditions "miraculously" improve. As far as the patients know, they've been getting the medicine all along, but their symptoms only improved after drinking the holy water, therefore the holy water must be responsible for their recovery.
 False Cause / int_8d81f086
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_8d81f086
featureConfidence
1.0
 Monk
hasFeature
False Cause / int_8d81f086
 False Cause / int_8dfbdff2
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_8dfbdff2
comment
In an episode of the mothership series, the defense lawyer for the serial killer of the week used a Media Watchdog witness to try to prove his client's violent actions were caused by violent TV. The prosecution destroys the argument by pointing out that if violent TV created violent people then everyone in the courtroom would be violent because everybody watches violent TV.
 False Cause / int_8dfbdff2
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_8dfbdff2
featureConfidence
1.0
 Law & Order
hasFeature
False Cause / int_8dfbdff2
 False Cause / int_994e32db
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_994e32db
comment
Played with in Rango, as an owl mariachi band tells the story of the life and death of the hero, implying that the events of the movie would lead to Rango's death. At the end of the movie, Rango is alive and well, and the owls comment that he will inevitably die some day, as he is as mortal as anyone else.
 False Cause / int_994e32db
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_994e32db
featureConfidence
1.0
 Rango
hasFeature
False Cause / int_994e32db
 False Cause / int_9a1901d
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_9a1901d
comment
In If Footmen Tire You, What Will Horses Do?, Reverend Pirkle tells us that crime has increased since the introduction of television.
 False Cause / int_9a1901d
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_9a1901d
featureConfidence
1.0
 If Footmen Tire You, What Will Horses Do?
hasFeature
False Cause / int_9a1901d
 False Cause / int_9b9f250d
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_9b9f250d
comment
h3h3productions made a collab with PewDiePie in early 2017 where PewDiePie portrays a far more self-centered and greedy version of himself. Around the same time, YouTube had a glitch that caused subscriber counts to appear as if they were rapidly dropping, which made Ethan of h3h3 briefly think he had killed PewDiePie's channel.
 False Cause / int_9b9f250d
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_9b9f250d
featureConfidence
1.0
 h3h3productions (Web Video)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_9b9f250d
 False Cause / int_9dfa8216
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_9dfa8216
comment
Law & Order:
This exact argument is used in an SVU episode where some kids attacked a woman and killed her. The kids played a video game with a similar attack, therefore, the video game caused them to attack the woman.
In an episode of the mothership series, the defense lawyer for the serial killer of the week used a Media Watchdog witness to try to prove his client's violent actions were caused by violent TV. The prosecution destroys the argument by pointing out that if violent TV created violent people then everyone in the courtroom would be violent because everybody watches violent TV.
 False Cause / int_9dfa8216
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_9dfa8216
featureConfidence
1.0
 Law & Order (Franchise)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_9dfa8216
 False Cause / int_a32b6a64
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_a32b6a64
comment
The West Wing had an episode named from the Latin name for this fallacy, "Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc". In the episode, some of the White House staffers think President Bartlet's electoral problems with Texas stem from him making fun of their big hats. Bartlet mentions the above stated phrase, correcting them that his problem with Texas is his immigration policy. Also, (jokingly?):
 False Cause / int_a32b6a64
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_a32b6a64
featureConfidence
1.0
 The West Wing
hasFeature
False Cause / int_a32b6a64
 False Cause / int_a346e791
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_a346e791
comment
In an episode of NUMB3RS, Charlie tells Don about the ice cream-rape correlation. As the sales of ice cream goes up, so do the number of rapes. The key is both take place during summer.
 False Cause / int_a346e791
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_a346e791
featureConfidence
1.0
 NUMB3RS
hasFeature
False Cause / int_a346e791
 False Cause / int_b80e5912
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_b80e5912
comment
My Next Life as a Villainess: All Routes Lead to Doom!: The story starts with eight-year old Catarina realizing that she's the Alpha Bitch character in a Romance Game named Fortune Lover, whose events will happen when she will be fifteen. Two of the possible main story branches have Maria, the Fortune Lover Player Character, end up with Catarina's fiancé Geordo or Catarina's adoptive step-brother Keith. Both those scenarios end with Catarina either exiled or dead due to her general abuse of Maria and/or an outright murder attempt on her. Wanting to keep this from happening, Catarina acquires various skills to be able to find a job after her exile and counter the means by which she gets killed. She also figures out it's a good idea to act much nicer to Geordo and Keith than her Fortune Lover counterpart did and ends up Becoming the Mask. When all three of them enter the Wizarding School in which Fortune Lover is set and meet Maria, Catarina dreads the prospect of Geordo or Keith falling for Maria and killing Catarina to preserve the relationship even if she doesn't bully and/or try to kill Maria. What Catarina misses is that she wasn't killed and/or exiled to be taken out of the picture, but in response to her abuse and murder attempt, both actions that her current self would never dream of doing.
 False Cause / int_b80e5912
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_b80e5912
featureConfidence
1.0
 My Next Life as a Villainess: All Routes Lead to Doom!
hasFeature
False Cause / int_b80e5912
 False Cause / int_d9c602eb
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_d9c602eb
comment
In one episode of South Park, banning Kentucky Fried Chicken causes a violent Black Market economy to spring up. Meanwhile, legalizing medical marijuana causes people to give themselves testicular cancer deliberately so they can legally get marijuana. The authorities look at the situation, and deduce that legalizing medical marijuana caused gang violence and legalizing Kentucky Fried Chicken will prevent testicular cancer.
 False Cause / int_d9c602eb
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_d9c602eb
featureConfidence
1.0
 South Park
hasFeature
False Cause / int_d9c602eb
 False Cause / int_e46d33d6
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_e46d33d6
comment
Encanto: Many of the villagers blame Mirabel's uncle Bruno for their various misfortunes (such as a dead goldfish, gaining weight, or going bald) because he predicted the occurrences ahead of time. He did not cause their misfortunes at all, and is in fact Good All Along. He simply has No Social Skills, and it doesn't help that (per Word of God) Bruno's visions were so overwhelmingly negative because he's a massive worrywart (not helped by his mother Alma, unable to move past her own trauma, pressuring him to focus on possible threats to the village). To top it off, it's implied that he wasn't actually using his powers to predict the aforementioned misfortunes - he was simply stating likely outcomes of observed behaviors (such as one man enjoying his sweets a little too much, and a lady keeping her fish in a bowl which was way too small for it). This is also why he went into hiding prior to the events of the film. After Mirabel didn’t receive a gift from the house, Alma asked him to look into her future. He received a vision that Mirabel would be involved in the collapse of the house, but recognized the vision was too vague to draw a proper conclusion from. He hid the vision and left because he knew that his reputation meant that everyone would immediately assume Mirabel was the cause of the the magic failing. Sure enough, Alma immediately jumps to blaming Mirabel once the vision is discovered.
 False Cause / int_e46d33d6
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_e46d33d6
featureConfidence
1.0
 Encanto
hasFeature
False Cause / int_e46d33d6
 False Cause / int_f0a86c12
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_f0a86c12
comment
This is more or less the entire premise of How I Met Your Mother. The final season finally establishes the link between the events of the previous eight seasons, but it is clear that Ted could have just skipped to those events without telling his kids all the prior information. The series finale reveals what the real reason behind all of this was, and that has a logical correlation to the events of the show. Widower Ted is telling his kids about his romantic history with Robin to explain that he wants to pursue a relationship with her (the Mother died ten years prior).
 False Cause / int_f0a86c12
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_f0a86c12
featureConfidence
1.0
 How I Met Your Mother
hasFeature
False Cause / int_f0a86c12
 False Cause / int_f6c05e8e
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_f6c05e8e
comment
Friends: Phoebe refuses to go to the dentist because every time she's gone in the past someone she knew has died while she was in the chair. When her current toothache becomes too painful she reluctantly makes an appointment and the first thing she does afterwards is call every single person she knows to make sure nobody has died.
 False Cause / int_f6c05e8e
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_f6c05e8e
featureConfidence
1.0
 Friends
hasFeature
False Cause / int_f6c05e8e
 False Cause / int_f9781975
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_f9781975
comment
In Dumbo (2019), the film's take on the Magic Feather trope is done like this: the first few times Dumbo propels himself into the air are the result of him sneezing from a feather caught in his trunk, leading his human friends to conclude that he can't fly without one.
 False Cause / int_f9781975
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_f9781975
featureConfidence
1.0
 Dumbo (2019)
hasFeature
False Cause / int_f9781975
 False Cause / int_ff9ab17f
type
False Cause
 False Cause / int_ff9ab17f
comment
Star Trek: The Next Generation: In "Hero Worship", the Enterprise finds a child who was the lone survivor of a destroyed starship and thinks he caused its destruction because he accidentally hit a computer console when he was thrown off-balance just before everything blew up.
 False Cause / int_ff9ab17f
featureApplicability
1.0
 False Cause / int_ff9ab17f
featureConfidence
1.0
 Star Trek: The Next Generation
hasFeature
False Cause / int_ff9ab17f

The following is a list of statements referring to the current page from other pages.

 False Cause
processingCategory2
Logical Fallacies
 False Cause
processingCategory2
Truth and Lies
 Kickers, Inc. (Comic Book) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Duel Nature (Fanfic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Your [True] Name (Fanfic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 The Flash (2023) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Saikano (Manga) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 How I Met Your Mother / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 MandaloreGaming (Web Video) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Ctrl+Alt+Del (Webcomic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Dan and Mab's Furry Adventures (Webcomic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Hyperbole and a Half (Webcomic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Spinnerette (Webcomic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 xkcd (Webcomic) / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause
 Encanto / int_365ea0ab
type
False Cause