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Probability Pileup

 Probability Pileup
type
FeatureClass
 Probability Pileup
label
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup
page
ProbabilityPileup
 Probability Pileup
comment
This trope is under discussion in the Trope Repair Shop.
The Theory of Narrative Causality aside, there are many things that are NOT probable. Green Rocks and Applied Phlebotinum often shift the scales, but seldom the odds — the odds shift themselves.
To word this better, once a thing has happened, it is much easier for it to be done again.
Similar to a mantra in Discworld; once things have happened, they have a tendency to happen again. The probability of an event increases slowly but steadily, until Rocks Fall, Everyone Dies or it approaches 1.
This bears some Truth in Television. Previously impossible feats of physical prowess get, once proven feasible, repeated by other athletes until one of them surpasses it and the cycle repeats. Scientific breakthroughs run in a similar vein — once you figure out how to do something, inventors will endeavor to emulate it in simpler, more efficient ways.
Compare So Last Season and Oddly Common Rarity.
When applied to defeating villains, heroes, and attacks, this trope leads to Villain Decay, The Worf Effect, and The Worf Barrage. Related to Contrived Coincidence.
 Probability Pileup
fetched
2023-06-18T06:58:39Z
 Probability Pileup
parsed
2023-06-18T06:58:39Z
 Probability Pileup
isPartOf
DBTropes
 Probability Pileup / int_1f170d5e
type
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_1f170d5e
comment
Ancient Domains of Mystery:
This is a game mechanic. Items that you've found once are slightly more likely to be generated in the future. This is partly to make it so that spellcasters can actually use their spells without worrying about permanently running out of their good spells before finding a new book.
What are the odds that a jackal kills you? Depends on how many you've killed, since killing monsters makes other, future iterations of that monster slightly stronger.
 Probability Pileup / int_1f170d5e
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_1f170d5e
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1.0
 Ancient Domains of Mystery / Videogame
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Probability Pileup / int_1f170d5e
 Probability Pileup / int_252237eb
type
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_252237eb
comment
Symphogear: Once GX reveals the existence of other kinds of Noise, each following season pops a new variant. The normal Noise were made by ancient humans who still had access to some Custodian technology. The Alca Noise are created with Alchemy, Karma Noise are from a parallel world, and Musha Noise are normal Noise that absorbed Muramasa fragments. They are all indestructible until the wielders get their symphogears upgraded.
 Probability Pileup / int_252237eb
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_252237eb
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1.0
 Symphogear
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Probability Pileup / int_252237eb
 Probability Pileup / int_28508de
type
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_28508de
comment
Winx Club: The first two seasons don't establish a pattern when it comes to fairy magic. First, is just the ability to transform into a fairy, and then an upgrade to that base form. The third season, however, it's all about getting a new, superior transformation: the Enchantix. From then onward, each season's goal is to acquire new fairy forms, oftentimes even more than one per season. The Enchantix is purported as the ultimate transformation... until (toy sells and) stronger villains make it obsolete. Then, the Winx have to get the Believix, fed by humans' belief in magic, and its Gift of Destiny mods —Sophix and Lovix— (to fight the Major Earth Fairies). Since the Believix doesn't work properly underwater, they have to take the Quest of the Sirenix, in the meantime being granted the Harmonix. Come the sixth season and they lose their powers, so Bloom shares the Dragon's Flame, and lo and behold they have the Bloomix. But they still need to access the Legendarium, so they gain the Mythix. The seventh season is similar — first, the Butterflix to connect with the fairy animals and then the Tynix to access the mini-worlds. The eighth has a Queen gift them the Cosmix and reintroduces three previous transformations.
 Probability Pileup / int_28508de
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_28508de
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1.0
 Winx Club
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Probability Pileup / int_28508de
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_30a5ebfd
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Naruto: Sasuke is said to be the last living member of the Uchiha Clan, with all the rest having perished in a targeted massacre five years ago. Then, Sasuke reveals that the perpetrator of the genocide is, in fact, Itachi Uchiha, Sasuke's older brother. From then on, the characters keep stumbling on more Uchihas —namely, Obito Uchiha (Kakashi's thought-dead teammate) and Madara Uchiha (former Clan head and co-founder of Konoha)—, even if they don't know that during most of the plot. Something similar happens with people with the Sharingan. First, it's just said that Sasuke one day will awaken his Clan's bloodline ability (which he does later). Then, we discover Kakashi has one Sharingan eye implanted. Next, it's Itachi. Next is a mysterious masked man. Then, it's one of Konoha's elders Danzo Shimura having several of them implanted on his left arm. Then, even the Greater-Scope Villains have it.
 Probability Pileup / int_30a5ebfd
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_30a5ebfd
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1.0
 Naruto (Manga)
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Probability Pileup / int_30a5ebfd
 Probability Pileup / int_3aeb1c75
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_3aeb1c75
comment
Dragon Ball:
Dragon Ball Z: Justified. The legendary Super Saiyan transformation was seen as impossible to achieve, yet so powerful and dangerous that it merited the destruction of the Saiyan homeworld and the near-genocide of their race. It takes Goku, the prophesied pure-hearted warrior, to get it by means of great emotional and physical stress to achieve it. Ditto for Future Trunks, Vegeta, and Gohan. Then they discover that there are levels to the Super Saiyan transformation. Then Chibi Trunks and Goten —respectively, Vegeta and Goku's pre-teen children— discover they can transform at will. The reason is that the level of power of the Saiyan parent at the moment of conceiving is directly proportional to the power of the child.
Dragon Ball GT: They discover that the key to the truly legendary transformation (the one that warranted the genocide in the first place) is the Saiyan tails that Goku and Vegeta had long since gotten removed as liabilities. As soon as Goku unlocks it after a complicated series of events —regrowing his tail, transforming into the great ape, retaining consciousness, and transforming into a Super Saiyan while an ape— Vegeta, Gogeta, and Broly are soon to follow.
 Probability Pileup / int_3aeb1c75
featureApplicability
1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_3aeb1c75
featureConfidence
1.0
 Dragon Ball (Franchise)
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Probability Pileup / int_3aeb1c75
 Probability Pileup / int_3b34143f
type
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_3b34143f
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Harry Potter: Chamber of Secrets revealed that Voldemort can store a snippet of his soul in an object (his teenage diary) and come back through it by his previously established ability to possess people. In the sixth book, Halfblood Prince, Dumbledore suspects that more of these objects exist and finds one (a ring). He and Harry peer through Voldemort's backstory and find that they are called Horcroxes and there are five more of them.
 Probability Pileup / int_3b34143f
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_3b34143f
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1.0
 Harry Potter
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Probability Pileup / int_3b34143f
 Probability Pileup / int_42ffb88e
type
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_42ffb88e
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SCP Foundation: During the SCP-7000-D event, occurrences that otherwise had an extremely small chance of happening ended up becoming the norm. Things such as random number generators outputting sequential number arrays or every storebought egg having two yolks were commonplace.
 Probability Pileup / int_42ffb88e
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_42ffb88e
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 SCP Foundation (Website)
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Probability Pileup / int_42ffb88e
 Probability Pileup / int_468bebb0
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_468bebb0
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Discworld:
Maskerade: The concept is conversed in regard to human nature. Seemingly impossible feats will be first done by the best of what humanity has to offer. Once they've been proven feasible, even grannies will be capable of reproducing them.
Men at Arms: It's mentioned that only a genius like Leonard da Quirm can invente a weapon so radically different from everything else Ankh-Morpork had ever seen —aka the gonne. However, once the gonne is invented, all it takes to make more of them is a clever craftsman, which the city has plenty of. Bjorn Hammerhock is murdered by the gonne specifically to prevent him from reverse-engineering and reproducing the invention.
Monstrous Regiment: The main character is a woman. However, it is gradually revealed that apparently so is everyone else in her squad, with the exception of the nebbishy lieutenant, and including the extremely auspicious Sergeant Jackrum and a third of the high command. Given that there's explicit divine involvement, and while that semi-divinity can only move 'small things', she's also capable of running a very effective Gambit Roulette through The Only Believer — and how large are thoughts?
 Probability Pileup / int_468bebb0
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_468bebb0
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1.0
 Discworld
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Probability Pileup / int_468bebb0
 Probability Pileup / int_4a94a5fc
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Probability Pileup
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Maskerade: The concept is conversed in regard to human nature. Seemingly impossible feats will be first done by the best of what humanity has to offer. Once they've been proven feasible, even grannies will be capable of reproducing them.
 Probability Pileup / int_4a94a5fc
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_4a94a5fc
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1.0
 Maskerade
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Probability Pileup / int_4a94a5fc
 Probability Pileup / int_6b711131
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_6b711131
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Mass Effect: Andromeda: Conversed. An Angaran proverb says that "in an ocean of fish, ONE will have gems in its mouth".
 Probability Pileup / int_6b711131
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_6b711131
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1.0
 Mass Effect: Andromeda (Video Game)
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Probability Pileup / int_6b711131
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_769da46e
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Monstrous Regiment: The main character is a woman. However, it is gradually revealed that apparently so is everyone else in her squad, with the exception of the nebbishy lieutenant, and including the extremely auspicious Sergeant Jackrum and a third of the high command. Given that there's explicit divine involvement, and while that semi-divinity can only move 'small things', she's also capable of running a very effective Gambit Roulette through The Only Believer — and how large are thoughts?
 Probability Pileup / int_769da46e
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_769da46e
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 Monstrous Regiment
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Probability Pileup / int_769da46e
 Probability Pileup / int_8248af1f
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Probability Pileup
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Star Trek: Department of Temporal Investigations: The novel gives this as an explanation for all the time-travel starship crews run into. Once you've done it, the chances of encountering it again increase, due to becoming a Weirdness Magnet.
 Probability Pileup / int_8248af1f
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_8248af1f
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 Star Trek: Department of Temporal Investigations
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Probability Pileup / int_8248af1f
 Probability Pileup / int_90c73dda
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_90c73dda
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Animorphs: The Ellimist Chronicles establishes that while the odds against the Ellimist's ascension were tremendous, the odds of it happening a second time, to Crayak, were very good.
 Probability Pileup / int_90c73dda
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_90c73dda
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 Animorphs
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Probability Pileup / int_90c73dda
 Probability Pileup / int_98dc652b
type
Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_98dc652b
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Dragon Ball GT: They discover that the key to the truly legendary transformation (the one that warranted the genocide in the first place) is the Saiyan tails that Goku and Vegeta had long since gotten removed as liabilities. As soon as Goku unlocks it after a complicated series of events —regrowing his tail, transforming into the great ape, retaining consciousness, and transforming into a Super Saiyan while an ape— Vegeta, Gogeta, and Broly are soon to follow.
 Probability Pileup / int_98dc652b
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_98dc652b
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 Dragon Ball GT
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Probability Pileup / int_98dc652b
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_9aac0273
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Men at Arms: It's mentioned that only a genius like Leonard da Quirm can invente a weapon so radically different from everything else Ankh-Morpork had ever seen —aka the gonne. However, once the gonne is invented, all it takes to make more of them is a clever craftsman, which the city has plenty of. Bjorn Hammerhock is murdered by the gonne specifically to prevent him from reverse-engineering and reproducing the invention.
 Probability Pileup / int_9aac0273
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_9aac0273
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1.0
 Men at Arms
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Probability Pileup / int_9aac0273
 Probability Pileup / int_d212a05e
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Probability Pileup
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Resonance of Fate: Bonus Shots work like this. If you attack an airborne enemy, you might get to roll the Bonus Shot chance, and your ability to succeed on the second shot goes up with every bullet you hit any airborne enemy with, stacking until the end of the fight or until you actually make a Bonus Shot. Also, after you actually make a Bonus Shot, well... your enemy's already in the air, so if you've still got actions left, just keep shooting and start building your chances up again.
 Probability Pileup / int_d212a05e
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_d212a05e
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 Resonance of Fate (Video Game)
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Probability Pileup / int_d212a05e
 Probability Pileup / int_ec28245c
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Probability Pileup
 Probability Pileup / int_ec28245c
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Dragon Ball Z: Justified. The legendary Super Saiyan transformation was seen as impossible to achieve, yet so powerful and dangerous that it merited the destruction of the Saiyan homeworld and the near-genocide of their race. It takes Goku, the prophesied pure-hearted warrior, to get it by means of great emotional and physical stress to achieve it. Ditto for Future Trunks, Vegeta, and Gohan. Then they discover that there are levels to the Super Saiyan transformation. Then Chibi Trunks and Goten —respectively, Vegeta and Goku's pre-teen children— discover they can transform at will. The reason is that the level of power of the Saiyan parent at the moment of conceiving is directly proportional to the power of the child.
 Probability Pileup / int_ec28245c
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1.0
 Probability Pileup / int_ec28245c
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 Dragon Ball Z
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Probability Pileup / int_ec28245c

The following is a list of statements referring to the current page from other pages.

 Ancient Domains of Mystery / Videogame / int_f25d689d
type
Probability Pileup